|
A year ago Georgias then Justice Minister
Mikhail Saakashvili told Parliament that luxury
homes constructed for ministers and senior officials
worth more than $200,000 should be confiscated.
(Top pay for these ministerial positions is around
$500 per month.) President Eduard Shevardnadze refused
to go along with this idea, defending the principal
of innocent until proven guilty. Within a few weeks
the Justice Minister resigned.
A few months later an opposition television station
was raided by tax inspectors, followed by passionate
anti-government demonstrations. Close Shevardnadze
ally, Interior Minister Kakha Targamadze, was said
to be responsible for the raid. Populist political
leader Zurab Zvania vowed to resign from his post
as Speaker of the Parliament to get rid of the Interior
Minister. Both resigned last November.
The main domestic political issues remain corruption
and the related failure by the State to collect
taxes and provide essential services. The government
official closest to this problem, Minister of Finance
Mirian Gogiashvili, estimates that the state budget
of around $500 million should have revenues closer
to $1.5 billion. Of course this impairs the Governments
efforts to put in place strong regulatory bodies,
to pay government employees wages which might discourage
corruption and slows the process of transition to
a market economy. The weak public governance is
also a major disincentive to badly needed foreign
investment.
At the same time at least six major political parties,
and numerous smaller entities, compete for the allegiance
of Georgias voters. The country has a flock
of daily and weekly newspapers, many of which have
no hesitation to report on scandal and government
weakness. The TV channel mentioned above and subjected
to the government raid maintains a vigilant watch
on the government and politics. There is clearly
a vibrancy in the Georgian political process.
On the other hand for those who might have hoped
for a rapid transition to a strong private sector
economy with the demise of the Soviet Union and
socialism, Georgia is not a good example. Many new
businesses have formed, some people are making money
and many are benefiting from the shadow economy.
But a well-regulated capitalistic society is going
to take time.
Bright areas of economic potential include agriculture
(with much effort being devoted to creating value-added
products such as canned fruit, development
of new uses for old staples like walnuts and much
success already being seen in the wine industry),
tourism (with visitors doubling every year) and
the transit of oil through the Georgian silk
route corridor from Azerbaijan and Central
Asia.
There are opportunities for foreign investment
but the prudent participant will first find a strong
and savvy local Georgia partner. And will have patience.
|